Studies
Beyond Resilience: Global Systemic Risk, Systemic Failure, and Societal Responsiveness An integrated systems perspective on evolving global risk, with the Geneva Global Initiative.
Catastrophic Shocks Through Complex Socio-Economic Systems — A pandemic perspective
Trade Off: Financial System Supply-Chain Cross Contagion — A study in global systemic collapse The vulnerability of complex, interdependent society to energy constraints, from a systems perspective.
On the Cusp of Collapse: Complexity, Energy, and the Globalised Economy from Fleeing Vesuvius: Overcoming the Risks of Economic and Environmental Collapse. Eds. Douthwaite & Fallon. New Society Publishers, 2011.
Tipping Point: Near-term systemic Implications of a Peak in Global Oil Production
Tipping Point: Near-Term Systemic Implications of a Peak in Global Oil Production — German Version
Open Letter on Growing Systemic Risk and Preparedness (29 May 2023).
This is an open letter to the Irish Government and members of the Houses of the Oireachtas. It concerns our lack of preparedness to face rapidly escalating global systemic risk, and provides some guidance about how the Irish political system can pivot towards a response.
National Risk Assessment Submission to the Irish NRA 2021/22 based upon draft document. Submission made on behalf of RASDA.
Covid19 & policy
Anticipatory Resilience and Preparedness for Coronavirus and Beyond - Policy and Social Interventions. Aimed at Ireland, but generally applicable.
Interviews
How To Be Trapped - A long, wide-ranging interview by Alexander Ac. Two parts: How to be Trapped, and Anger & Complicity in a Time of Limits.
Articles and Essays
We Need to Talk About Catastrophic Global Risk - COVID19 is a reminder that the systems which underpin our lives are increasingly brittle and face a growing array of intensifying pressures, we must prepare.
私たちは壊滅的なグローバルリスクについて語り合う必要がある translator: Masayuki Ohtani
Brexit, Systemic Risk, and a Warning for a Changing World What Brexit teaches us about vulnerability as we enter an age of increasing ecological, economic, and social stress.
Artificial Intelligence and Existential Risk: A Soothing Balm for Our Troubled Times
Risk Managing the Irish State — Irish Independent
The Passing - commissioned by artists Lloyd & Wilson